Ferris's Nick Shelness cuts through the hype on Microsoft's Exchange Online announcement and its reality as applied to Notes customers:

The November 17 announcement of Microsoft Exchange Online included a case study in which a company migrated away from Notes using Microsoft Exchange Online. This is mainly marketing gloss.

Microsoft has been announcing the death of Notes for five years. Ferris survey data indicates that in the enterprise, Microsoft and IBM/Lotus are on the whole maintaining their penetration.  ...

Ferris, therefore, expects to see a rash of pilot Notes migrations to Microsoft's Online offerings. Whether these will progress beyond the trial stage, only time will tell. We suspect that many of them will not.
So it looks like Microsoft got about a month of runway to try to use their latest competitive distraction...and it has been a massive fail.  As we wind down the year, we're seeing wins in customers that have been previously announced as supposedly-migrating to Exchange Online,  We're getting traction with IBM's Lotus Notes Hosted Messaging, and it's leading to some really interesting discussions with customers about "messaging economics" overall.  That's Ferris's point -- the full cost picture really needs to be evaluated, and even an informed analysis won't justify a migration, ever.

Link: Ferris: Microsoft Exchange Online Won't Particularly Facilitate Notes-to-Exchange Migration >

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